source: http://www.ft.com/home/uk
By Norma Cohen, Demography Correspondent
Human longevity has improved so rapidly over the past century that 72 is the new 30, scientists say.
Researchers at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research in Rostock, Germany, said progress in lowering the risk of death at all ages has been so rapid since 1900 that life expectancy has risen faster than it did in the previous 200 millennia since modern man began to evolve from hominid species.
The pace of increase in life expectancy has left industrialised economies unprepared for the cost of providing retirement income to so many for so long.
The study, published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States, looked at Swedish and Japanese men – two countries with the longest life expectancies today. It concluded that their counterparts in 1800 would have had lifespans that were closer to those of the earliest hunter-gatherer humans than they would to adult men in both countries today.
Those primitive hunter gatherers, at age 30, had the same odds of dying as a modern Swedish or Japanese man would face at 72.
Scientists who worked on the study said it was unclear what the possible upper limit for life expectancy would be. “How much longer can we extend life?” said Oskar Burger, lead researcher on the study. “We just don’t know.”
The study did not try to draw conclusions about whether the extension of human life was moral or desirable, or whether it could occur without depleting the faculties needed to enjoy the extra years.
Instead, it tried to look at how the odds of dying at specific ages had changed over time. The researchers used longevity data from chimpanzees in captivity to estimate lifespans for pre-humans and data from modern day hunter-gatherer tribes as a benchmark for early human lifespans.
Mr Burger noted that the very rapid improvement in lifespans coincided with the invention of antibiotics and vaccines, huge improvements in agricultural efficiency that made food far more available and the widespread development of systems that made clean water more readily accessible.
Human mortality, he added, has shown itself to be far more “plastic” and capable of manipulation than anyone had imagined.
Thursday, February 28, 2013
Monday, February 25, 2013
Even Japanese criminals are orderly and well-behaved
WITH its façade of red brick, Chiba prison, just outside Tokyo, looks like a Victorian-era British jail. That is where the similarity ends. Prisons in Britain are often loud, dirty and violent, but Chiba resembles a somewhat Spartan retirement home for former soldiers. The corridors and the tiny cells are spotless. Uniformed prisoners shuffle in lockstep behind guards and bow before entering rooms.
The deputy warden, Hiroyuki Shinkai, who once visited British prisons as a UN researcher, was shocked by what he found. He can still recall his surprise at seeing inmates freely mingling and talking. “Japanese penal philosophy is different,” he explains. In Japan, talking is banned, except during break-times. Unpaid work is a duty, not a choice.
Japan incarcerates its citizens at a far lower rate than most developed countries: 55 per 100,000 people compared with 149 in Britain and 716 in America. The country’s justice ministry can also point to low rates of recidivism. Yet increasingly the nation’s 188 prisons and detention centres come in for harsh criticism, particularly over their obsession with draconian rules and secrecy (on February 21st the government unexpectedly announced it had hanged three men for murder), and their widespread use of solitary confinement.
Over two-thirds of the inmates of Chiba prison were convicted for crimes that caused death—mainly murder, arson or manslaughter. Half are serving life sentences and, in Japan, life means life. The average prisoner is 50. Many of them have never used a mobile phone or a credit card. Conjugal visits are banned, so marriages break down.
In the prison workshops, inmates silently make leather shoes and furniture, overseen by a single unarmed guard. No riot has taken place in a Japanese prison since just after the second world war. Escapes are rare, and drugs and contraband almost non-existent. The prison notes that its ratio of one guard to four prisoners is roughly half that in Britain. Yet no one can recall a violent attack on a staff member.
A landmark report in 1995 by Human Rights Watch, a lobby group, said this remarkable order “is achieved at a very high cost”, including the violation of fundamental human rights and falling far short of international standards. Europeans and Americans inside Japan’s prison system have developed mental problems. Yet for Mr Shinkai the differences with the West are a point of pride. “Of course we look too strict to outsiders,” he says. But his inmates, he goes on, all come from Japanese society. For them, it works beautifully.
source: http://www.economist.com/news/asia/21572257-even-japanese-criminals-are-orderly-and-well-behaved-eastern-porridge
Wednesday, February 13, 2013
the pope to quit feb. 28
The vast majority of popes serve until they die, and they stick it out despite their ill health.
The Vatican has announced that German born Pope Benedict XVI will resign on February 28. Benedict will be the first pope to step down from the papacy in centuries.
The pope is reported to be stepping down because he feels his age is interfering with his ability to perform the job. He is 85 years old.
The vast majority of popes serve until they die, and they stick it out despite their ill health. The last pope to resign voluntarily was Pope Gregory XII, in 1415. Prior to that, Pope Benedict IX resigned from the post in 1045.
Benedict’s decision sets the stage for a conclave to elect a new pope before the end of March, and opens the door to widespread speculation among Roman Catholics about his possible successor.
The pope apparently told his subordinates: “After repeatedly examining my conscience in front of God I have reached the conclusion that my strengths – because of advanced age – mean I am no longer able to exercise adequately the role of Pope.”
Two Italian newspapers ran quotes from the Pope stating that he “felt the weight of the task” and had decided to step down “for the good the Church”.
The Independent revealed there have been rumors over the past few months that the Pope’s health has been failing and that he was struggling to read texts. Benedict has previously stated that Popes who are unable to do their job because of ill health should step down.
-source: http://www.jewishpress.com/news/breaking-news/the-pope-to-quits-feb-28/2013/02/11/
The Vatican has announced that German born Pope Benedict XVI will resign on February 28. Benedict will be the first pope to step down from the papacy in centuries.
The pope is reported to be stepping down because he feels his age is interfering with his ability to perform the job. He is 85 years old.
The vast majority of popes serve until they die, and they stick it out despite their ill health. The last pope to resign voluntarily was Pope Gregory XII, in 1415. Prior to that, Pope Benedict IX resigned from the post in 1045.
Benedict’s decision sets the stage for a conclave to elect a new pope before the end of March, and opens the door to widespread speculation among Roman Catholics about his possible successor.
The pope apparently told his subordinates: “After repeatedly examining my conscience in front of God I have reached the conclusion that my strengths – because of advanced age – mean I am no longer able to exercise adequately the role of Pope.”
Two Italian newspapers ran quotes from the Pope stating that he “felt the weight of the task” and had decided to step down “for the good the Church”.
The Independent revealed there have been rumors over the past few months that the Pope’s health has been failing and that he was struggling to read texts. Benedict has previously stated that Popes who are unable to do their job because of ill health should step down.
-source: http://www.jewishpress.com/news/breaking-news/the-pope-to-quits-feb-28/2013/02/11/
Tuesday, February 12, 2013
Pope Benedict to resign, says no longer has strength to fulfill ministry
source: http://ph.news.yahoo.com/pope-benedict-resign-spokesman-110408359.html?cache=clear
VATICAN CITY (Reuters) - Pope Benedict
stunned the Roman Catholic Church on Monday when he announced he would
stand down, the first pope to do so in 700 years, saying he no longer
had the mental and physical strength to carry on.
Church officials tried to relay a climate of calm
confidence in the running of a 2,000-year-old institution, but the
decision could lead to uncertainty in a Church already besieged by
scandal for covering up sexual abuse of children by priests.
The soft-spoken German, who always maintained that he
never wanted to be pope, was an uncompromising conservative on social
and theological issues, fighting what he regarded as the increasing
secularisation of society.
It remains to be seen whether his successor will continue such battles or do more to bend with the times.
Despite his firm opposition to tolerance of homosexual
acts, his eight year reign saw gay marriage accepted in many countries.
He has staunchly resisted allowing women to be ordained as priests, and
opposed embryonic stem cell research, although he retreated slightly
from the position that condoms could never be used to fight AIDS.
He repeatedly apologised for the Church's failure to
root out child abuse by priests, but critics said he did too little and
the efforts failed to stop a rapid decline in Church attendance in the
West, especially in his native Europe.
In addition to child sexual abuse crises, his papacy
saw the Church rocked by Muslim anger after he compared Islam to
violence. Jews were upset over rehabilitation of a Holocaust denier.
During a scandal over the Church's business dealings, his butler was
accused of leaking his private papers.
In an announcement read to cardinals in Latin, the
universal language of the Church, the 85-year-old said: "Well aware of
the seriousness of this act, with full freedom I declare that I renounce
the ministry of Bishop of Rome, Successor of St Peter ...
"As from 28 February 2013, at 20:00 hours (1900 GMT)
the See of Rome, the See of St. Peter will be vacant and a conclave to
elect the new Supreme Pontiff will have to be convoked by those whose
competence it is."
POPE DOESN'T FEAR SCHISM
Benedict is expected to go into isolation for at least a
while after his resignation. Vatican spokesman Father Federico Lombardi
said Benedict did not intend to influence the decision of the cardinals
in a secret conclave to elect a successor.A new leader of the world's 1.2 billion Roman Catholics could be elected as soon as Palm Sunday, on March 24, and be ready to take over by Easter a week later, Lombardi said.
Several popes in the past, including Benedict's predecessor John Paul, have refrained from stepping down over their health, because of the division that could be caused by having an "ex-pope" and a reigning pope alive at the same time.
Lombardi said the pope did not fear a possible "schism", with Catholics owing allegiances to a past and present pope in case of differences on Church teachings.
He indicated the complex machinery of the process to elect a new pope would move quickly because the Vatican would not have to wait until after the elaborate funeral services for a pope...
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